Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.036888 0.042769 0.049294 0.057073 0.066099 0.076246 0.088527
2026-01-04 0.027840 0.035566 0.045006 0.057398 0.073259 0.092912 0.119163
2026-01-11 0.022321 0.030746 0.041840 0.057539 0.079235 0.108239 0.150099
2026-01-18 0.018818 0.027579 0.039848 0.058321 0.085523 0.124250 0.183851
2026-01-25 0.016447 0.025426 0.038687 0.059755 0.092525 0.141796 0.221972
2026-02-01 0.013849 0.022442 0.035742 0.057898 0.094075 0.151161 0.248769
2026-02-08 0.012087 0.020444 0.033942 0.057420 0.097491 0.163573 0.281798
2026-02-15 0.010635 0.018712 0.032279 0.056835 0.100495 0.175490 0.315398
2026-02-22 0.009671 0.017655 0.031567 0.057705 0.105993 0.192168 0.359392
2026-03-01 0.008675 0.016391 0.030309 0.057385 0.109237 0.205152 0.398287
2026-03-08 0.007655 0.014941 0.028512 0.055797 0.109847 0.213266 0.428911
2026-03-15 0.006786 0.013658 0.026858 0.054239 0.110254 0.220938 0.459543
2026-03-22 0.006308 0.013096 0.026545 0.055340 0.116197 0.240435 0.517453
2026-03-29 0.005793 0.012395 0.025871 0.055618 0.120503 0.257213 0.572179
2026-04-05 0.005324 0.011725 0.025173 0.055745 0.124488 0.273806 0.628864
2026-04-12 0.004962 0.011237 0.024792 0.056501 0.129929 0.294203 0.696997
2026-04-19 0.004687 0.010904 0.024703 0.057888 0.136966 0.319031 0.778971
2026-04-26 0.004205 0.010036 0.023313 0.056090 0.136339 0.326191 0.819572
2026-05-03 0.003868 0.009465 0.022531 0.055627 0.138833 0.340998 0.881170
2026-05-10 0.003559 0.008922 0.021750 0.055061 0.140991 0.355245 0.943384
2026-05-17 0.003363 0.008634 0.021546 0.055903 0.146809 0.379321 1.034789
2026-05-24 0.003121 0.008199 0.020923 0.055594 0.149598 0.396023 1.108811
2026-05-31 0.002839 0.007624 0.019884 0.054056 0.148917 0.403557 1.158612